Tuesday, March 22, 2011

"What would it take?"

What would it take to end all of the problems that we face today?

Well, i'm not sure where to start. But i do have a few ideas.

We could start by cutting our military by 3/4ths and close all of the bases that we have in other countries. Every. Single. One. Of. Them. By doing this, i would also suggest that we have absolutely NO STANDING ARMY during peace time. Why? Because of this quote, one of my favorite quotes:

"Of all the enemies of true liberty, war is, perhaps, the most to be dreaded, because it comprises and develops the germ of every other. War is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instrument for bringing the many under the domination of the few." -James Madison.

Next, i would legalize all drugs. Yep. All of them. If you don't like drugs, or think they are bad, then don't do them. And if you don't want your kids to do them, teach them not to and lead by example and they more than likely won't. Any college kid can get weed, meth, x, all that stuff and some simply choose not to. I am one of them and i don't do drugs because i don't want to. It isn't for lack of finding drugs. It's time to stop thinking that if we legalized drugs that everyone would be stoned or screwed up every second of every day. And just think what would happen to the war on drugs. It would end overnight. Why? Because if you could walk to CVS or Walgreens and buy drugs, you wouldn't bother going to a dealer who is going to stiff you or rob you during your transaction. Not only that, but i would trust a chemist or a botanist to harvest drugs far more than i would trust some kid off the street. Of course, there would be stipulations at your job (you more than likely would still get fired if you came in high, just like you would be fired if you showed up drunk), and screenings for attending some schools. Really, if you think about it, nothing would change other than the fact that new businesses would spring up and the costly war on drugs would be over. What's so damned bad about that?

Next, amend the constitution and remove the Necessary and Proper Clause along with the Taxation Clause, and the Interstate Commerce Clause. Why? Well, for one, these clauses are used as an umbrella for so many failing government programs that accomplish nothing. Amtrak: Broke. Social Security: Broke. Post Office: Broke.

Another thing i would do is get rid of the direct election of senators. I really REALLY don't want some one who doesn't know what they are talking about voting for the person who is going to run my life and steal my money to pay for it's debts. These people should have to pass rigorous tests and prove to their state that they can not only do the job, but to do it while keeping in mind that the states are sovereign and that the people created the government, not the other way around.

Finally, the most important step: Drop Keynes and adopt the Austrian Theory of Economics. I believe that this step is the most vital. From this, all other things will follow. Yes, the Austrians believe that a recession should work itself out and if we ever let a recession do what it's supposed to do, which is to liquidate assets, it will be hard and difficult. Why? We've been propping up businesses that should have failed and it's time to let the market sort them out. Why? Well, the market can regulate and police itself. It doesn't need our help. In fact, it doesn't need us interfering at all. When the market cascades, it's a beautiful thing because companies that can no longer compete are being taken out or replaced by ones that can. DON'T INTERFERE!!

That's it. That's all that you need to turn all of this mess around. I just think that even if we do start implement these changes that people will panic because change will be painful and we will resort back to our old ways.

Is there any hope? Yes. There is always hope. Hope comes to us from people like Ron Paul who would give the power back to the people. Hope comes from the Four Horsemen of Reaction from the 1930's who blocked New Deal legislation. Hope comes from presidents like Grover Cleveland who's dying words were, "I tried so hard, to do what is right." There will always be those wolves that see the truth and want to live in a truly free society. I just think that we've gone too far and that we, like Rome, must fall to understand our mistakes.

Thursday, March 17, 2011

"What's the Boom and Bust Cycle?"

This video explains it better than i can.


It can be hard to understand at times, so here are the lyrics:

We’ve been going back and forth for a century
[Keynes] I want to steer markets,
[Hayek] I want them set free
There’s a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek] Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes] No… it’s the animal spirits

[Keynes Sings:]

John Maynard Keynes, wrote the book on modern macro
The man you need when the economy’s off track, [whoa]
Depression, recession now your question’s in session
Have a seat and I’ll school you in one simple lesson

BOOM, 1929 the big crash
We didn’t bounce back—economy’s in the trash
Persistent unemployment, the result of sticky wages
Waiting for recovery? Seriously? That’s outrageous!

I had a real plan any fool can understand
The advice, real simple—boost aggregate demand!
C, I, G, all together gets to Y
Make sure the total’s growing, watch the economy fly

We’ve been going back and forth for a century
[Keynes] I want to steer markets,
[Hayek] I want them set free
There’s a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek] Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes] No… it’s the animal spirits

You see it’s all about spending, hear the register cha-ching
Circular flow, the dough is everything
So if that flow is getting low, doesn’t matter the reason
We need more government spending, now it’s stimulus season

So forget about saving, get it straight out of your head
Like I said, in the long run—we’re all dead
Savings is destruction, that’s the paradox of thrift
Don’t keep money in your pocket, or that growth will never lift…

because…

Business is driven by the animal spirits
The bull and the bear, and there’s reason to fear its
Effects on capital investment, income and growth
That’s why the state should fill the gap with stimulus both…

The monetary and the fiscal, they’re equally correct
Public works, digging ditches, war has the same effect
Even a broken window helps the glass man have some wealth
The multiplier driving higher the economy’s health

And if the Central Bank’s interest rate policy tanks
A liquidity trap, that new money’s stuck in the banks!
Deficits could be the cure, you been looking for
Let the spending soar, now that you know the score

My General Theory’s made quite an impression
[a revolution] I transformed the econ profession
You know me, modesty, still I’m taking a bow
Say it loud, say it proud, we’re all Keynesians now

We’ve been goin’ back n forth for a century
[Keynes] I want to steer markets,
[Hayek] I want them set free
There’s a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Keynes] I made my case, Freddie H
Listen up , Can you hear it?

Hayek sings:

I’ll begin in broad strokes, just like my friend Keynes
His theory conceals the mechanics of change,
That simple equation, too much aggregation
Ignores human action and motivation

And yet it continues as a justification
For bailouts and payoffs by pols with machinations
You provide them with cover to sell us a free lunch
Then all that we’re left with is debt, and a bunch

If you’re living high on that cheap credit hog
Don’t look for cure from the hair of the dog
Real savings come first if you want to invest
The market coordinates time with interest

Your focus on spending is pushing on thread
In the long run, my friend, it’s your theory that’s dead
So sorry there, buddy, if that sounds like invective
Prepared to get schooled in my Austrian perspective

We’ve been going back and forth for a century
[Keynes] I want to steer markets,
[Hayek] I want them set free
There’s a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek] Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes] No… it’s the animal spirits

The place you should study isn’t the bust
It’s the boom that should make you feel leery, that’s the thrust
Of my theory, the capital structure is key.
Malinvestments wreck the economy

The boom gets started with an expansion of credit
The Fed sets rates low, are you starting to get it?
That new money is confused for real loanable funds
But it’s just inflation that’s driving the ones

Who invest in new projects like housing construction
The boom plants the seeds for its future destruction
The savings aren’t real, consumption’s up too
And the grasping for resources reveals there’s too few

So the boom turns to bust as the interest rates rise
With the costs of production, price signals were lies
The boom was a binge that’s a matter of fact
Now its devalued capital that makes up the slack.

Whether it’s the late twenties or two thousand and five
Booming bad investments, seems like they’d thrive
You must save to invest, don’t use the printing press
Or a bust will surely follow, an economy depressed

Your so-called “stimulus” will make things even worse
It’s just more of the same, more incentives perversed
And that credit crunch ain’t a liquidity trap
Just a broke banking system, I’m done, that’s a wrap.

We’ve been goin’ back n forth for a century
[Keynes] I want to steer markets,
[Hayek] I want them set free
There’s a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek] Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes] No it’s the animal spirits